MODEL UPDATED FOR SUPER BOWL LIX

A Super Bowl Prediction Model Built For The Modern Era

Unlock full access to our proprietary prediction model that predicted 10 out of the past 12 Super Bowls.

What You Get

  • Matchup Selector including remaining playoff teams
  • Super Bowl winner forecast
  • Calibrated win probability
  • Confidence tier & conviction analysis
  • Defensive and offensive matchup breakdown
  • Transparent model diagnostics (no black box)
  • Model updates until kickoff
Model Performance Since 2013
ACC: 83.3%
REC: 10-2
ALPHA: +33%
YearMatchupFinal ScoreModel PickResult
2024KC vs PHI22-40PHIHit
2023SF vs KC22-25KCHit
2022KC vs PHI38-35PHIMiss
2021LA vs CIN23-20LAHit
2020KC vs TB9-31TBHit
2019SF vs KC20-31SFMiss
2018NE vs LA13-3NEHit
2017PHI vs NE41-33PHIHit
2016NE vs ATL34-28NEHit
2015CAR vs DEN10-24DENHit
2014NE vs SEA28-24NEHit
2013SEA vs DEN43-8SEAHit